Arka Breakbulk Shipments [PDF]

  • 0 0 0
  • Gefällt Ihnen dieses papier und der download? Sie können Ihre eigene PDF-Datei in wenigen Minuten kostenlos online veröffentlichen! Anmelden
Datei wird geladen, bitte warten...
Zitiervorschau

LARSEN & TOUBRO

MBA SUMMER INTERNSHIP REPORT [ANALYSIS OF BREAK BULK SHIPMENTS] ARKAPRAVA GHOSH PGDIB 02

2009 Page 1 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

ACKNOWLEDGEMENT The training in break bulk shipments I undertook in Larsen & Toubro at Powai works (Mumbai) was a unique experience for me. The theoretical knowledge coupled with practical knowledge gave me an excellent opportunity to understand the nuances of management. It gives me immense pleasure to express my profound gratitude towards, • Mr. G. Kannan-Head, Logistics Management Centre • Mr. Jay Desai- assistant manager , Logistics management centre • Mr. J Subramanium –assistant manager , Logistics management centre • Mr . M.B Tikle – logistics executive • Mr. Sanjeev Ahuja – AGM logistics • Mr . Swapnil Nikharge – Assistant manager , logistics management center • Ms. Viveka Joshi for providing and facilitating an opportunity in the form of this project, mentoring and motivating me throughout the project. I would express heartfelt thanks to Mr. M. Nachimuthu-Head Welding Department, for his valuable guidance and encouragement extended during the entire course of the summer training. In the end, I would like to thank all those people who are left unmentioned here but have contribution to my successful training in the company. I would also like to thank the Globsyn Business school CRP cell for giving me an excellent opportunity to go to L&T and experience the work culture in Mumbai. I am grateful to Mr. Bikramjit Sen and Mr. Krishnendu Ghosh , my mentors for providing me with guidance, help and support. Lastly I would also like to thank my parents and friends for being by my side during the whole training and providing me with constant encouragement.

Page 2 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

Larson & Toubro - An Introduction Larson & toubro is a techonology, Engineering , Construction and manufacturing company. It is one of the largest and most respected companies in India’s private sector. Seven decades of strong , customer focused approach and the continuous quest for world class quality have enabled it to attain and sustain leadership in all its major lines of business. The company’s businesses are supported by a wide marketing and distribution network , and have established a reputation for strong customer support. L&T has the following operating divisions :•

Engineering and construction projects (E&C)



Heavy engineering(HED)



Engineering construction and contracts(ECC)



Electrical and electronic(EBG)



Machinery and industrial products(MIPD)



IT and engineering services



Logistics management centre(LMC)

My training was mainly in the logistics department regarding breakbulk shipments. The operation workflow of the same is further discussed in the form of a flowchart :-

Page 3 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

RECEIVE ENQUIRY FROM BUYERS

ARKAPRAVA GHOSH GLOBSYN BUSINESS SCHOOL KOLKATA

PURCHASE ORDER BEING SENT TO THE BUYERS AFTER BEING VERIFIED BY THE OPERATIONS DEPARTMENT

FROM THE RECEIVED QUOTATIONS, THE QUOTES ARE TAKEN AND QUOTATION STATEMENT IS PREPARED. ALL QUOTES ARE COMPARED AND NEGOTIATED WITH THE FREIGHT FORWARDERS

TALK WITH THE BUYERS TO NOMINATE AND FINALISE THE FREIGHT FORWARDER

REQUEST FOR QUOTATIONS SENT TO 5-8 FREIGHT FORWARDERS IN A STANDARD FORMAT

FREIGHT FORWARDERS ALONG WITH THEIR CONCERNED FOREIGN COUNTERPART START PLANNING FOR THE FREIGHT FOREWARDING

LMC DECIDES ON THE FREIGHT FORWRDER

BUYERS INFORMED FROM TIME TO TIME ON THE STATUS OF THEIR SHIPMENTS

LMC MONITORS THE WHOLE FREIGHT FORWARDING PROCESS TILL IT ARRIVES AT THE PORT AND LOADS MIT BASED ON THE INCO TERMS STATED

ALL REQUIRED DOCUMENTATION SENT TO THE BUYER FOR PROCESSING OF PAYMENT Page 4 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

TABLE OF CONTENTS 1.

THE INDIAN SHIPBUILDING INDUSTRY……………..................9 1.1 advantages india vs global

2.

BREAK BULK CARGO : AN INTRODUCTION………………….14 2.1 break bulk cargo handling 2.2 Loading and discharging operations

3.

APPLICATION OF PORTER’S FIVE FORCES……………………24 TO A BREAK BULK TERMINAL 3.1 Break bulk vs container terminals

4.

FREIGHT STRUCTURE……………………………………………29 4.1 Liner shipping and Tramp shipping-an overview 4.2 Liner shipping in detail 4.3 Sea freight calculations

5.

TIME FUNCTION ANALYSIS OF A BREAK BULK TERMINAL…. 39 OPERATIONS

6.

REDUCING DWELL TIME AND INCREASING EFFICIENCY AT PORTS..43 6.1 Indian vs Rotterdam ports-a comparison 6.2 Benefits of IWT

7.

APPROACH FOLLOWED FOR A BREAK BULK SHIPMENT……..51 7.1 The Cargo 7.2 Sea Route Planning 7.3 Carrier selection 7.4 Port selection 7.5 Transport route survey to the port 7.6 Loading operations 7.7 Terms of Payment

8.

INDIAN PROJECT CARGO MARKET……………………….58 8.1 An overview 8.2 Problems faced for ODC shipments in India

9.

FREIGHT RATE DECISION MODEL………………………….74 Page 5 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

10.

RECESSION AND BREAK BULK……………………………..79 10.1Effect of recession on the break bulk industry 10.2Effect on the Shipping Lines 10.3Proposed solution

11.

BIBLIOGRAPHY………………………………………………...86

Page 6 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

ANALYSIS OF BREAK BULK SHIPMENTS

Page 7 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

CHAPTER 1 INDIAN SHIPBUILDING INDUSTRY India's Shipbuilding Industry has been recognised by the Government of India as one of the strategic industries to be developed to meet the country's Defence requirements and shipping tonnage under the national merchant fleet. The existing Indian shipping fleet is however, small compared to other countries with large registries and tax havens. Ninety per cent of all India-owned ships are foreign built, and shipyards in India use mostly imported equipment. Overall, there are 28 large, medium and small shipyards, many of them combining ship repair services. Major shipyards are in the public sector. Further, over 40% of the Indian shipping fleet is over 20 years old and would be due for replacement over the first half of the next decade. The general cargo, bulk carriers and other miscellaneous class of ships are the ones that would come up for replacement on a priority basis. India's share in international shipbuilding is currently quite low and there are very few private sector shipyards. India currently accounts for slightly over 1% of the worldwide shipbuilding order book. However, more than half of the order books of Indian shipyards pertain to exports. The Indian shipbuilding industry structure can be divided into three distinct segments: Public sector shipyards: The public sector shipyards build merchant class ships. These include Hindustan Shipyard, Cochin Shipyard, Hoogly Dock & Port Engineers and Central Inland Water Transportation. Defence shipyards: There are three naval shipyards under the purview of the Ministry of Defence (MoD), which include Mazgaon Dock, Goa Shipyard and Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers. Private shipyards: India has two mid-sized private shipyards namely ABG Shipyard and Bharati Shipyard. Besides, a number of smaller shipyards and repair yards manufacture smaller barges, tugs, patrol ships, fishing ships. Some of the new entrants in the business of shipbuilding include Pipavav Shipyard, Larsen & Toubro, Shipping Corporation of India, Reliance Group, Ruia Group, Page 8 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

Pipavav Shipyard, Larsen & Toubro, Shipping Corporation of India, Reliance Group, Ruia Group, Adani Group, Tutocorin Port Trust, Tata Group, Mercator Lines and Dolphin Offshore. Entry of these players would lead to growth of shipbuilding industry in India. ADVANTGES INDIA VS GLOBAL India enjoys cost advantages… India has abundance of qualified manpower availability, which is cheaper than largest hubs for shipbuilding in the world, Korea and Japan. China is another country where labour cost is lower than Korea and Japan. Labour cost, as a percentage of total cost of building a ship, is approximately 21-23% in Europe and Japan, whereas it is 19% in Korea. The Indian shipyards enjoy an edge over their global counterparts where pricing of the ships is concerned as they incur costs as low 8-10% to build a ship. The Indian shipyards enjoy an edge over their global counterparts where pricing of the ships is concerned …possesses requisite talent India has well qualified manpower in heavy engineering including maritime engineering, naval architecture, port management and other ancillary education. Indian professionals also have a good command over spoken and written English compared to their counterparts in the other Asian countries, particularly China and Singapore. Good communication skills facilitate the Indian professionals in maintaining good relations with their existing clients as well as in generating repeat business. Indian shipbuilders ensure quality and faster delivery of vessels The quality of ships delivered by the Indian shipbuilders is also at par with the ships built by the Korean shipyards. Pertinently, the Indian shipyards are also able to execute the orders and deliver the ships faster than their Korean and Japanese counterparts, as they are setting up new capacities. Thus, the ship buyer stands to benefit buying a vessel from an Indian shipyard as he is ensured of faster of delivery of similar quality ships and at a cheaper price. Indian shipbuilders, Bharati Shipyard and ABG Shipyard in particular, enjoy an absolute advantage where bagging of orders from the global ship buyers is concerned and are well placed to maintain their orders book position/backlog going ahead. Page 9 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

Earlier timeslots available which can be sold at a premium The Indian companies are currently in the process of ramping up their shipbuilding capacity. India has a long coastline with several locations for setting up large shipyards advantageously. When these capacities get commissioned, these companies would be in a position to give earlier delivery slots to the ship buyers. Currently, most of the viable shipyards across the world are fully booked for the next few years. Hence, early delivery slots of ships would command a premium to later deliveries. Good communication skills facilitate the Indian professionals in maintaining good relations with their existing clients .Early delivery slots of ships would command a premium LABOUR RATES IN ASIAN COUNTRIES:-

Promotion of Domestic shipping routes to spur additional demand for ships The Government of India is also in the process of implementing a Maritime Policy, which would lead to several new ports and shipyards coming up across the coastline. This would also lead to development of domestic water (coastal) transport system in the country, which would in turn lead to demand for additional vessels. Capability to manufacture Off-shore rigs, a technological breakthrough

Page 10 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

The Indian shipyards are also foraying into the manufacture of off-shore rigs, success of which would place them among the elite list of yards having the capability to manufacture offshore rigs. Currently, there are only 9-10 yards in the world which manufacture off-shore rigs. Among the Indian players, Bharati Shipyard is already in the process of manufacturing an off-shore rig for Great Offshore, which is expected to be delivered by the end of FY2009 or beginning of FY2010. Meanwhile ABG Shipyard is in negotiation with Essar Shipping for procuring a contract to manufacture two off-shore rigs. We believe that further orders would start flowing in to manufacture off-shore rigs once the current orders have been executed and the buyers, particularly when the overseas players, are assured that the Indian shipyards have the capability to manufacture sophisticated off-shore rigs. Indian Shipping fleet small and due for Replacement India's current shipping fleet is small compared to other countries and tax havens, which have large registries. However, over 40% of the Indian shipping fleet is over 20 years old and would be due for replacement over the first half of the next decade. The general cargo, bulk carriers and other miscellaneous class of ships are due for replacement on a priority basis. The Indian shipyards have the capability to manufacture most of these ships and the players expect a large part of the replacement demand to be diverted to the Indian shipyards. Approximately, 63.5% of the Indian shipping fleet constitutes Oil tankers while Bulk carriers make up 26.0%. Total size of the Indian merchant fleet was approximately 14.2mn dead weight ton (DWT) at the beginning of FY2007. The replacement market would translate into 6.1mn DWT over the next decade on a conservative basis. Currently, there are only 9-10 yards in the world which manufacture off-shore rigs Over 40% of the Indian shipping fleet is more than 20 years old and would be due for replacement Age distribution of the Indian Merchant fleet (% of DWT, 2007) Type Bulk carriers Containersh

0-4 yrs 1.6

5-9 yrs 7.9

10-14 yrs 15.2

15-19 yrs 5.3

20+ yrs 70

Averag e age 19.8

0

0

52

25.1

23

15.9

Page 11 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

ips General cargo Oil tankers Other types All

5.9 31.6 3.3 20.5

12.6 8.4 5.8 8

18.8

17.1

45.7

16.9

15.6 1.1 14.7

15.5 26.3 14

28.9 63.5 42.8

12.5 20 15.2

Export led demand Majority of the orders with the Indian shipyards pertain to exports. For example, 65% of Bharati Shipyard's order book and 85% of ABG Shipyard's order book constitutes exports. The Indian shipyards have carved a niche for themselves in the manufacture of Off-shore Support Vessels (OSV) and Platform Support Vessels (PSV) and majority of their order book pertains to this class of vessels. GROWTH OF INDIAN FLEET:-

Page 12 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

CHAPTER 2

2.1 BREAK BULK CARGO HANDLING :"Break-bulk" cargo handling is the method employed since the earliest days of shipping. A bulk of cargo is broken down into groups that can be handled by the equipment available. Break bulk cargo is cargo that may be affixed to a pallet. Palletized cargo is organized in such a way as to facilitate the loading into the ship by crane or derrick. The ship may carry some bulk cargo, some break bulk and some containers. For deep draft trades, domestic and international, dry bulk goods use bulk ships. In this kind of system the high-value cargo was packaged in cases or pallets for shipment and loaded and unloaded on a piece-by-piece or pallet-by-pallet basis. In the shipping industry, profit is made by keeping the ships on the move without significant delays in docking time for loading and unloading of goods which are being transported. When a ship comes to port, depending on the harbor, pilot tugs or the like may be employed to bring the ship to dock. Once docked, it is relatively impractical and inefficient to move the ship until it is ready to depart for its next destination. The four largest segments in the shipping industry are tankers, which carry such cargo as crude oil and petroleum products; bulk carriers, which carry iron ore, coal and grain; containerships, which carry only containers; and gas tankers, which carry mostly liquefied petroleum gas (“LPG”) and liquefied natural gas (“LNG”). According to the latest available figures, total annual world seaborne trade in 2007 almost reached 8.0 billion metric tonnes, of which dry bulk cargoes accounted for 3.0 billion metric tonnes. The following table illustrates the evolution of the various categories of cargoes that comprise world seaborne trade.

Page 13 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

World Seaborne Trade 1997

2002

2007 Million tonnes

Crude oil Oil products Break Bulk Dry Bulk Container L LNG

1,554 505 2031 741 470 119

1,667 543 7441 811 718 150

1,986 771 9995 1,029 1,246 210

Ttotal

5,419

6,208

7,973

Conventional ships have on-board crane systems to assist in the loading and unloading of cargo. Due to the limited reach of such crane systems, after a ship is docked, there is a relatively fixed embarkation/debarkation area on the dock defined by the reach of the ship's crane. The shipping of break bulk goods such as cocoa beans from third world nations to the United States provides an example of the conventional shipping process. The cocoa beans are grown abroad, harvested and packed into 150 pound sacks. The sacks are transported to the dock area where they are placed on pallets having lifting slings attached, commonly referred to as a sling and/or sling load of cocoa beans. The slings of cargo are arranged in groups adjacent to each other, the number of slings per group preferably equalling the capacity of the on-board crane which the ship employs. Typically, for a ship with a large capacity crane, only one or two groups of slings can be positioned on the dock in the embarkation area for the ship. As the ship's crane lifts the first group of slings and transfers the group into the ship's cargo hold, more slings of cocoa beans are assembled in the space vacated by the first group. The loading process continues until a desired number of sling groups are aboard the ship. As the groups of Page 14 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

slings are placed in the hold of the ship, the groupings of slings remain intact to facilitate off-loading without any unnecessary handling. Break bulk ships are mainly classified into 3 ship types:Handy (15-49,999dwt), Panamax (50-79,999dwt) Capesize (80,000+)

Maritime cargo Bulk cargo

General cargo

Break bulk

Neo bulk

containers

Liquid bulk

Dry bulk

Marine terminals can be categorized into five fundamental terminal types (refer to Figure 2). These terminal types are described as follows: 1) Break bulk cargo; includes palletized, bagged and loose-stowed cargo. 2) Neo bulk cargo; generally steel, lumber and autos. 3) Containerized cargo; includes containers and ro-ro truck trailers. 4) Liquid bulk cargo; includes crude petroleum, petroleum products and chemicals. 5) Dry bulk cargo; generally consists of grain or coal, includes other dry cargo.

2.2 OPERATIONAL REQUIREMENTS FOR BREAK BULK AND HEAVY LIFT CARGOES:-

Page 15 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

The objective of this section is to provide an overall picture of an industry sector which is an essential part of cargo handling and general shipping practice. It does not have such a high profile as the container or Ro-Ro movement, but it is, nevertheless, an indispensable arm to the practice of shipping. HATCHWORK-

Weather deck hatch covers Steel weather deck hatch covers now dominate virtually all sectors of general, bulk and container shipping. Conventional wooden hatch covers have been eclipsed by the steel designs which are much stronger as well as being easier and quicker to operate Better watertight integrity is achieved and they are labour saving, in that one man could open five hatches in the time it would take to strip a single conventional wooden hatch. The disadvantages are that they are initially more expensive to install, and carry a requirement for more levels of skilled maintenance.

Page 16 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

Folding hydraulic operated, steel hatch covers, seen in the vertical open position.

Folding (hydraulic operated) hatch covers The more modern method of operating steel hatch covers is by hydraulics, opening the sections in folding pairs.

-:LOADING AND DISCHARGING HEAVY LIFTS:-

Page 17 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments



Prior to commencing the lift, the derrick and associated lifting gear needs to be prepared. Where a load is outside the SWL of a ship’s gear, either a floating crane or a specialized heavy-lift vessel would be employed.



Preparation time for the derrick can vary depending on the type, but a period of up to 2 h would not be unusual. Man-management of the rigging crew and advance planning with regard to the number of lifts and in what order they are to be made, in relation to the port of discharge and order of reception of cargo parcels, would be the expected norm.



Stability detail

It must be anticipated that the vessel will go to an angle of heel when making the lift with the derrick extended. This angle of heel should be calculated and the loss of metacentric height (‘GM’) ascertained prior to commencing the lift. Clearly, any loss of positive stability should be kept to a minimum . •

Operation Adequate manpower should be available in the form of competent winch drivers and the supervising controller. Winches should be set into double gear for slow operation and steadying lines of appropriate size should be secured to points on the load to allow position adjustments to be made.



Slinging arrangements

Page 18 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

Use of heavy duty lifting beams. Two Huisman shipboard cranes (each at 275-tonne SWL) hoist the new ferry load Fiorello, by means of two heavy duty lifting beams .

Page 19 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

JUMBO DERRICKS

Page 20 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

Tandem lifting It is not unusual these days to encounter specialized vessels, fitted with heavy lift, dual capacity speed cranes. Such ships have the ability to work conventional loads but have the flexibility to load containers or project heavy-lift cargoes.

Page 21 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

Heavy-lift floating crane When the load is too great to be handled by the ship’s own lifting gear, the floating crane option is usually the next immediate choice. Most major ports around the world have this facility as an alternative option for heavy specialist work. The type of activity is two-fold, because, if loaded by this means at the port of departure, the same load must be discharged at its destination by similar or equivalent methods. The construction of these conventional cranes is such that the crane is mounted on a pontoon barge with open deck space to accommodate the cargo parcel.

Having gained now enough knowledge about break bulk shipments let us now try to measure what forces affect the break bulk industry?

Page 22 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

CHAPTER 3 3.1 APPLICATION OF PORTER’S FIVE FORCES TO A BREAKBULK TERMINAL

The above chart offers an overview of the forces that affect the industry. The effect that each force has on the industry is discussed below. THREAT OF NEW ENTRANTS:The threat of entry in a break bulk terminal industry is low due to a number of factors. 1. First of all , starting a terminal is difficult. There are many hurdles and barriers to clear even before a company can begin to design a terminal. A new entrant usually occurs because existing terminals cannot meet the demands required of them. •

CAPITAL INTENSIVE INDUSTRY: All terminals are large heavy industrial sites , requiring a large amount of capital to build, the largest among them being the equipment infrastructure costs.



TIME INTENSIVE INDUSTRY:

Page 23 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

Few companies in the world design and manufacture machines capable of lifting millions of tons, and they can take a year or more to assemble which occurs on location. •

Owning or leasing land in a port is very expensive due to its geographical limitations.

2. EXPERIENCE MATTERS: Another barrier to entry is the learning curve associated with the industry. Maximizing efficiencies out of the equipment takes time. Experience is gained by running the equipments, making mistakes and learning from them. It can take years for operational personnel to maximize efficiencies out of machinery and for the maintenance personnel to learn proper routines for maintenance of these complex machines.

3. Lack of space also creates a barrier to entry in the industry. The existing infrastructure ensures that ports exist only in a few highly industrialized areas. A new competitor must buy large parcels of land in these areas to build a terminal.

4. Even after investing in a terminal; it should have a required partnership with inter

modal transportation facilities to enable product to arrive and leave the site.

5. Government policies can be a deterrent to new entrants. Port authorities are mostly governmental agencies that administer the working of the ports. Any new entrant must satisfy the terms and conditions associated with the government mostly relating to environmental concerns, pollution, and safety of the workers. Satisfying these conditions and getting a government approval can take a huge amount of time. Page 24 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

6. Another important factor is that other terminals are facing an unprecedented growth. Container traffic has risen on an average of 10% over the years and is expected to grow. The huge profits and surge in demand distracts investors and creates difficulty in raising necessary funds to open and operate a bulk terminal.

BARGAINING POWER OF THE CUSTOMERS:

Page 25 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

Customers have a moderate amount of power in the breakbulk industry. Customers are defined as parties that are invoiced by the terminals for the services performed. They may be either buyer or supplier of the commodity. •

Factors which increase customer power:-

1. CHOICE OF MULTIPLE TERMINALS Customer power increases in the scenario that they have choices of multiple terminals to ship their products. This allows them to play the terminals against each other in contract negotiations.

2. Existing break bulk terminals have an advantage in the sense that they are

integrated with various buyers , suppliers in the form of long term contracts etc...



Factors which decrease customer power:-

1. There are a few terminals within geography available to the shippers. The

transportation cost and limited number of terminals lessen the power of the customer.

2. Customers need to keep the product moving. They don’t have the time to

wait for better terms to have the product shipped. A disruption in supply waiting for better terms can be very costly for their manufacturing processes. Also, once a manufacturing process starts it is very costly to stop. Page 26 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

3. Terminals mostly enter into a long time contract with the logistics

companies. Customers not owning terminals have to go through logistics companies to ship their products and agree to their terms and conditions as per their contract.

BARGAINING POWER OF THE SUPPLIERS:The power that suppliers exert on the industry is high. Terminals must focus on labour and specially equipment suppliers which are very few in number. 1. The most important factor is organized labour which mainly exists in the form of

unions. These unions are mainly involved in loading, unloading to and from these vessels and storage of the cargo in the warehouses. The union has the capability to shut down activity in the entire terminal. Therefore, they must be handled with care. 2. Equipment suppliers provide homogenous and specialized products to terminals

for their day to day operations. While terminals form a major customer base; they are not the only customers. Equipment suppliers can stand losing out a terminal.

THREAT OF SUBSTITUTE PRODUCTS AND SERVICES:The threat of substitutes as a replacement for break bulk terminals is very low . currently there is not much evidence that substitutes exist. Air transport can come close to as a substitute but it is only valid when high value delivery and / or immediate delivery is required. RIVALRY AMONG EXISTING COMPETITORS:There is a moderate to high degree of rivalry among the existing competitors. All terminals offer homogenous services i.e. the operation procedures are the same everywhere . the main distinguishing factors are: Page 27 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments



Price



Port infrastructure in the form of Heavy equipments, loading capacities etc.



Berth depth



Space can also be a major factor. It can give terminals the advantage to take on cheaply more products.



The relationship that a terminal with labour union. A poor relationship can make a terminal non – productive.

3.2 Break-bulk terminals

Container terminals

Small terminal surface Less transshipment possible

Large terminal surface More transshipment

Limited mechanization and automation Advanced mechanization and automation Improvisation in terminal operations

Organization and planning

Conventional break-bulk terminals are mainly focused on direct transshipment from the deepsea vessel to inland transport modes. Direct transshipment is associated with very short dwell times (the average time the cargo remains stacked on the terminal and during which it waits for some activity to occur), requiring only a small temporary storage area on the terminal. Transshipment is very labor intensive with operations managed on an adhoc basis. It is common due to the lengthy loading or unloading process to have goods move directly from the land mode (trucks or rail) to the ship or vice-versa and ships staying at berth for several days. The introduction of container vessels meant larger cargo volumes per port call and shorter handling times per ton. Both factors made direct transshipment no longer feasible as this would require a large amount of trucks, barges and trains to be in place during the vessel’s short port stay. Due to congestion, capacity and availability of inland transportation containerization contributed to a modal separation on terminals and the Page 28 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

setting of a significant buffer in the form of large stockage areas. Each transport mode received a specific area on the terminal, so that operations on vessels, barges, trucks and trains could not obstruct one another. This modal separation in space was a requirement for setting up a system of indirect transshipment whereby each transport mode follows its own time schedule and operational throughput, implying a modal separation in time. Under the indirect transshipment system, the terminal stacking area functions as a buffer and temporary storage area between the deepsea operations and the land transport operations that take place later in the process. As a consequence, and in spite of higher turnover levels, the space consumed by container terminals increased substantially. In turn, these space requirements changed the geography of ports and the migration of terminals to new peripheral sites. But the break bulk still rule the over dimensional cargo department where containers are not possible and feasible

CHAPTER 4 FREIGHT STRUCTURE:4.1 Definition:“The price paid to a ship owner for the transportation of goods or merchandise by sea from one specific port to another. The word "freight" is also used to denote goods, which are in the process of being transported from one place to another. The cost to transport supplies, materials, or equipment via a commercial carrier; also may include packing, crating, and handling costs”  Freight rates quoted – either per ton of 2240 lb (weight) or on 40 ft (cubic measurement) per ton - whichever produce greater revenue  With spread of metric system - many freight rates - quoted per 1000 kg or m3 (35.3 ft)

Page 29 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

4.2 TYPES OF SEA FREIGHT RATES: Advance freight - Payable in advance, before delivery of goods - used in liner cargo trade and tramping  Lump sum freight - Payable for use of whole or portion of a ship.  Dead freight- damage claim for breach of contract by the charterer to furnish a full cargo to a ship  Back freight – Goods on arrival are refused then the freight charged for the return of the goods constitutes back freight.  Pro-rata freight – circumstances make it impossible to continue the voyage further - accept delivery at an intermediate port  Ad valorem freight: - Arises when cargo is assessed for rate purposes on a percentage of its value

The ocean transport industry provides a wide range of shipping services which may be broadly split into two main categories: •

Tramp shipping



Liner shipping

There are six distinct markets which are served, namely 1. the dry bulk trades 2.

the oil and refined products trades

3. the gas and chemical trades 4. the general cargo trades 5. the container trades 6. the reefer (i.e., refrigerated cargo) trades

Page 30 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

Liner vessels are those which call regularly on specific ports under fixed schedules, and cater to the transport requirements of the public at large without discrimination (known as common carriers), charging fares/ freights which are already fixed and specified for the reference/ guidance of the public. Tramping vessels on the other hand, operate without any regular ports of call nor schedules, providing transport services only on the basis of negotiations. The environment in which tramp shipping takes place is close to the model of perfect competition, and pricing is fully governed by the law of supply and demand. Ships are chartered under different terms and conditions, including •

single voyage or consecutive voyage charters



contracts of affreightment, period



time charter,



trip charter,



Bare boat charter. The composition of the charter rates under each of the above arrangements is depicted in the table below.

Voyage Affreightm. Time/trip Bareboat Capital Costs x x x x Operating Costs x x x Voyage Costs x x Cargo Handling Costs x The major elements which influence the fixing of a specific rate are: (a) Ship specification (b) Trade and route (c) General market conditions (d) Terms of charter party, i.e., distribution of costs between ship owner and charterer (e) Duration of charter (f) The urgency of the charter Page 31 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

(g) The convenience of the charter to the ship owner Typical monthly charter rates (US$/DWT) at the beginning of 1990 were: bulk carriers (time charter): 25,000 DWT - 10.15; 60,000 DWT - 6.35; 120,000 DWT - 4.70; Tankers (time charter): 30,000 DWT - 9.70; 80,000 DWT - 5.35; 250,000 DWT - 2.00;

Page 32 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

Page 33 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

4.3 LINER SHIPPING Liner shipping takes place in an environment which is totally different from tramp shipping in that liner services are provided on the basis of fixed schedules and itineraries. Until recently, the liner shipping sector was largely oligopolistic in that these services were controlled by cartels, called shipping conferences. A conference exists for each major trade route, and it is the conferences that draw up tariffs, scheduling freight rates at which goods will be transported. Conventional breakbulk (general cargo) liner tariff rates are assessed on : •

cargo weight or



measurement or



value. Goods measuring < 40 cu.ft. per 1,000 kg are charged on a cargo weight basis >40 cu ft measured by the measurement tariff scale. If goods are of very high value, they are charged irrespective of weight and measurement on an ad valorem basis.

Listing of some of the fees and surcharges that you might see in a quotation from a forwarder or customs broker or ocean carrier: •

Currency Adjustment Factor,



Bunker Adjustment Factor, Page 34 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments



Origin and Destination Terminal Handling Charges,



Peak Season Surcharge,



Automated Manifest Security Surcharge,



Congestion Surcharge,



Bill of Lading Issuance Fees,



Detention/Demurrage Fees, and



Others, as applicable.

4.4:SEA FREIGHT CALCULATIONS: Introduction Seafreight calculations can broadly be divided into two main components: breakbulk and containerised. In this section we deal with only break bulk cargo calculations. Break bulk cargo calculations Break bulk cargo, is cargo that is unitised, palletised or strapped. This cargo is measured along the greatest length, width and height of the entire shipment. The cargo is also weighed. Shipping lines quote break bulk cargo per "freight ton", which is either 1 metric ton or 1 cubic metre, which ever yields the greatest revenue. Example: A case has a gross mass of 2 Mt. The dimensions of the cargo are: 2.5 X 1 X 2 meters The tariff rate quoted by the shipping line is: USD 110.00 weight or measure (freight ton) Step 1 Multiply the meters 2.5 X 1 X 2 = 5 meters Page 35 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

Step 2 Calculate the freight with the greater amount either the mass or the dimension. 5 X USD 110.00 = USD 550.00 Freight would be paid on the measurement and not the weight. All shipping lines carrying cargo in a break-bulk form insist on payment based on a minimum freight charge which is equivalent to one freight ton, one cubic metre or one metric ton. SURCHARGES:From time to time, abnormal or exceptional costs arise in respect of which no provision has been made in the tariffs. For example a shipping line cannot predict the movement of the US Dollar or the sudden increase of the international oil price. These increases have to be taken into account by the shipping line in order to ensure that the shipping line continues to operate at a profit. These increases are called surcharges. All shipping lines accordingly retain the right to impose an adjustment factor upon their rates taking into account these fluctuations. All surcharges are expressed as a percentage of the basic freight rate. Surcharges are regularly reviewed in the light of unforeseen circumstances, which may arise and bring cause for a surcharge increase. Bunker Adjustment Factor (BAF) "Bunkers" is the generic name given to fuels and lubricants that provide energy to power ships. The cost of bunker oil fluctuates continually and with comparatively little warning. Example: Freight rate: Port Elizabeth to Singapore Suppose, Freight rate: US Dollar: 1 250.00 per tone + BAF 5.2% US Dollar 1 250.00 X 5.2% = US Dollar 65.00

Page 36 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

Add the two amounts together Freight rate: U S Dollar 1 315.00 Currency Adjustment Factor (CAF) The currency adjustment factor is a mechanism for taking into account fluctuations in exchange rates, these fluctuations occur when expenses are paid in one currency and monies earned in another by a shipping company. The currency adjustment factor is a mechanism for taking into account these exchange rate fluctuations. It is always expressed as a percentage of the basic freight and is subject to regular review. Example: Freight rate: Port Elizabeth to Singapore Freight rate: US Dollar: 1 250.00 per tone + CAF 6.3% US Dollar 1 250.00 X 6.3% = US Dollar 78.75 Add the two amounts together Freight rate: U S Dollar 1 328.75 War Surcharge The outbreak of hostilities between nations can have a serious effect upon carriers servicing international trade even though they may sail under a neutral flag. Carriers sailing within the vicinity of a war zone may impose a war surcharge on freight to compensate for the higher risks involved and the higher levels of insurance premium, which they may be obliged to pay. Example: Freight rate: Port Elizabeth to Singapore Freight rate: US Dollar: 1 250.00 per tone + WAR 5% US Dollar 1 250.00 X 5% = US Dollar 62.50 Add the two amounts together Freight rate: U S Dollar 1 35.50

Page 37 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

All of the above surcharges may be applied to a single freight rate. Example: Freight rate: Port Elizabeth to Singapore Freight rate: US Dollar: 1 250.00 per 6-M container + BAF 5.2% + CAF 6.3% + WAR 5% Total amount of surcharge 16.5% US Dollar 1 250.00 X 16.5% = US Dollar 206.25 (add to freight rate) US Dollar 1 456.25 Port Congestion Surcharge Congestion in a port for a period of time can involve considerable idle time for vessels serving that port. When a ship lies idle, this creates a huge amount of loss for the ship's owner. Shipping lines therefore have the right to impose a surcharge on the freight to recover revenue lost. Another factor which influences port congestion surcharge would be labour disputes. Port congestion surcharges are calculated as a percentage of the freight rate as expressed in the previous examples.

Page 38 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

CHAPTER 5 OPERATIONAL ANALYSIS OF BREAK BULK TERMINALS 5.1 The operations that mainly take place in a break bulk terminal are:Ship to storage

Storage to Rail/truc

Documentation and customs examination

Gate passing time

The methodology:What we are going to do here is consider a certain element of each operation as the measure of productivity of that procedure . then all the individual productivities are compared together and potential bottlenecks are identified. Procedure:1.SHIP TO STORAGE After the vessel arrives i.e. the vessel arrival notice has been given how long does it take for the cargo to be moved to the storage area? The main elements to be considered are ; •

Hatch time: due to uneven distribution of cargo among hatches some cargo might be heavily loaded while others might be not.



Pre berthing time :- the waiting time for the vessel before the cranes are ready to unload the cargo.



Availability of cranes



Resource allocation:-the number of cranes to be allocated to the hatches

The main element that has been considered here for our analysis is the pre berthing time. The pre berthing time for Mumbai port has been found out to be 17.28 hours. Factors contributing to PBT are mainly due to port account factors and non port account factors. Factors contributing to Port Account: 1. Non- availability of working berth as the berth is occupied by another working vessel 2. Lack of availability of cranes Page 39 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

3. Non- availability of berth as all other berth are fully occupied 4. Discharging/loading in midstream due to non-availability of berth Factors contributing to Non-Port Account: 1. Documents not ready 2. Cargo not ready 3. Lack of storage space in shed/tanks (not/poor clearance) 4. Waiting for barges 5. Mid-stream discharge to meet draft requirement 1. STORAGE TO RAIL / TRUCK This factor mainly gauges the waiting time of the cargo on the port before it loaded on to some truck / rail and discharged to its destination. This waiting time is also known as the dwelling time of the port. The dwelling factor for break bulk cargo in the Mumbai port has found out to be 7 days. 2. DOCUMENTATION AND THE INSPECTION TIME:-

Request for berthing of vessel • •

Agencies Involved – Shipping Agent, Port. Documents Required – Berthing application, Payment

receipt for berth hire and stevedoring , Certified hazardous cargo list. Time Taken- 30 min

Berthing of vessel •

Agencies Involved – Shipping Agent, Port, PHO, Police, Immigration, Customs, Rammaging (for narcotics).



Documents Required- ISPS declaration, copy of P&I cover, Application to DC, Details about crew, boarding set consisting ship & crew details, PHO form.

Time Taken- 1 to 3 hrs. Discharging of cargo and movement to storage Submission of Advance list,–IGM and advance container • Agencies Involved Shipping Agent, payment Customs,ofPort, Port’srelated charges at Port Transporters. CUSTOMS INSPECTION • • •

Agencies Involvedrequired: – Shipping Port., • Documents billAgent, of lading Page 40 of 89 Documents Requiredyard Planning form, Tally sheet. invoice copy Documents Required - Hard copy of IGM, Port Payment Receipts.

Time Taken20 taken min. – 1.5 -2 hrs Time Time Taken- 30 min

Analysis of break bulk shipments

TOTAL TIME TAKEN:- 5.4 TO 6 HOURS 3. GATE PASSING OPERATIONS:-

The main elements to be considered here are: •

Presentation of the correct clearance documents



Traffic congestion at the gate

Since no quantifiable data was found for gate congestion therefore the average time taken for clearance of documents of the gate was taken into consideration. Movement from CY to Out Gate / ICD, Out Gate Operations •

Agencies Involved –Port, Shipping Agent, Port’s Transporters.



Documents Required- Advance list, Gate Pass,

Page 41 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

Time Taken- 30 min Summarizing , PARAMETER

SHIP TO STORAGE

STORAGE TO RAIL/TRUCK

DOCUMENTATION

GATE PASSING TIME

HOURS

17.28

7 DAYS

5.4 TO 6 HRS

0.5 HOURS

Thus from the above table we see that most of the time is taken during storage operations leading to low efficiencies of ports 0PARAMETERS SANGHAI HOUSTON ANTWERP MUMBAI Overall cargo 561000000 225000000 182896788 5024000 traffic CRANES Four 50 Two 40.6 30 dock Two 30 metric ton metric ton cranes with metric ton cranes container lifting cranes Mobile cranes capacity cranes upto Mobile upto 100 Mobile truck 400 tonnes truck cranes tonnes cranes with Other heavy upto 3 floating SWL of 250 cranes 300tons craneswith tons available on >500 tonnes lifting special available on capacity arrangement special upto 800 arrangement tonnes No of berths 140 Draft (Avg. depth 7 mts (too 14 mts 15 mts 10.5 mts of harbor) less...at least 14 mts required for deep water port) Average 0.5 days 0.5 days 0.7 days 7.96 days turnaround time of ships Crane 36 moves per 26 moves 36 moves 17.75 moves productivity hour per hour per hour per hour Total quay length 11,754 mts 845 metres 1250 mts 600 mts can can accommodate accommodate maximum 41 vessels nine vessels

Page 42 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

CHAPTER 6 :REDUCING DWELL TIME AND INCREASING EFFICIENCY AT PORTS: Definition of Dwell Time The duration for which an entity stays in the port for service is called dwell time of the entity. In the port parlance, the entities are mainly the vessel and cargo / containers. Vessel related dwell time From the time a vessel reports at anchorage to the time it is cast-off from the berth, is the Turn Round Time for the vessel. Page 43 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

Dwell time of a vessel/shipment broadly reflects the efficiency of the port. AVERAGE DWELL TIME FOR INDIAN PORTS (IN DAYS):PORTS KANDLA HALDIA KPT MUMBAI AVERAGE

BREAKBULK IMPORT 7 5 5 7 6 DAYS

BREAKBULK EXPORTS 7 6 6 7 6.5 DAYS

Including warehousing , the average dwell time at major Indian ports are: Import:- 9.87 + 6 = 15.87 days Export:-10.6 + 6.5 = 17.1 days It is observed that the port’s role in the entire logistics chain is barest minimum to provide the infrastructure facilities for handling of vessels, containers and other cargo. A detailed time study of the actual time taken by the port authority for handling import and export cargo in the breakbulk terminal was carried out. It revealed that the total time taken by the port authority, cumulatively, is 3-4 hrs for import and 3-4 hrs for export. Thus it can be observed that the rest of the time the cargo/vessel dwells in the port is on the account of other stakeholders like shipping agents, customs, Clearing agents / transporters etc who have to play their respective roles in preparing & furnishing the requisite information to the port authority, arrange for funds for making payment of port charges, arranging for transport etc.

Page 44 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

Vessel reporting

Pre berthing detention (A)

Vessel readiness for berthing

Transit time

Vessel berthing

Non working time (C1)

Operations commenced Working time (D) + non working time (C2) Operations completed Non working time (C3)

Vessel sailing from berth

TOTAL TURNAROUND TIME = A +B+C(C1+C2+C3) +D

PORTS KANDLA HALDIA KPT MUMBAI

PRE BERTHING TIME (A) 1.65 2.16 0.40 1.00

TRANSIT TIME (B) 0.083 0.083 0.083 0.083

NON WORKING TIME (C) 0.40 0.79 1.17 0.70

WORKING TIME

TRT IN DAYS

2.26 0.97 2.46 2.31

4.39 4.00 4.12 4.09

Page 45 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

6.1 Comparison of Indian port with Rotterdam port in terms of port efficiency parameters:Parameters

Indian port

Evacuation / Aggregation of cargo

Cargo is predominantly by road and rail only.

Level of Mechanization

Location of Port based Industries

Availability of storage space

Information Exchange

NO. of quay cranes

Rotterdam port

Most of the bulk cargo and the containers movement through barges accounts for 50-60% transportation because of excellent inland water networking. The extent of mechanization The level of mechanization is less in Indian Major Ports is very high with the latest technologies applied in all spheres Most of the manufacturing Most of the manufacturing firms are located away from units are the ports located within the Port, thereby the evacuation is very fast Land is very scarce in Ports. As so much of land is Hence, evacuation has to available at take place. the Rotterdam Port, the more number of days the cargo lies inside the Terminal, the revenue is high to the Terminal Operator EDI implementation is EDI networking is partial. complete and total and Too many human interfaces hence, there and manual exchange of is no physical movement documents. paper from any place. Human intervention is almost nil. All payments are also done electronically. in MBPT the total no of the total quay length is quay cranes is 8 nos. with a 11,654 mts covering a total quay length of 600 mts of 4 terminals with a Page 46 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

covering a total of three terminals

capacity of 131 quay cranes.

Summarizing the factors that contribute to the reduced efficiency at Indian ports are:•

Inadequate port capacity: the growth in cargo has been phenomenal while concurrent growth in capacity has not been able to keep pace with it.



Inadequate navigational aids and facilities: Certain Ports like Mumbai are already equipped with Vessel Traffic Management System (VTMS), whereas most of the other Ports are not equipped with such facilities.



channel width restrictions leading to unidirectional vessel movements causing waiting of vessels for service



insufficient cargo handling equipments/machinery



shortage of storage space on the ports:- As a consequence, cargo aggregation/evacuation is seriously affected. The lack of storage space affects the discharge / loading rate of the vessel.



Low IT application in case of documentation

MEASURES THAT CAN BE TAKEN TO INCREASE EFFICIENCY AT PORTS:•

Up gradation of machinery and cargo handling equipment and appointing a qualified workforce for handling and maintenance purposes.



Development of inland water transportation facilities for smooth aggregation and evacuation of cargo.



Application of IT extensively in the documentation department.

Page 47 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

The concept of IWT is of greatest concern amongst the above three. Let us now elaborate more on that.

6.2 BENEFITS OF INLAND WATER TRANSPORTATION:For increasing efficiency at the ports and reducing the turnaround time , a measure for implementing inland water transportation was suggested. Now we will check the viability of that. Water based transport is effective as generally speaking, operating costs of fuel are low and environmental pollution is lower than for corresponding volumes of movement by road, rail or air. A major advantage is that the main infrastructure – the waterway – is often naturally available, which then has to be “trained”, maintained and upgraded. Transport over waterways is especially effective when the source and/or destination are waterfront locations. Out of 14500 kms of navigable waterways IWT consists of only 2716 kms consisting of three national waterways in total. This shows what a huge potential is lying untapped within our country.

DISTANCE (Kms) 1

2

National Waterway 1 (Allahabad -Haldia stretch of Ganga -Bhagirathi-Hooghly river system) National Waterway 2 (Sadiya-Dhubri

1620 891

Page 48 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

3

stretch of Brahmaputra river system) National Waterway 3 (Kollam-Kottapuram stretch of West Coast Canal along with Champakara Canal and UdyogMandal Canal)

Total

205

2716

Operational feasibility of IWT:IWT is a capital intensive industry, even for operators, as significant investment is required in vessels, for a start. Investments required to provide and maintain the waterway and terminals are of an even higher scale and can be maintained by government agencies and few other customers like refineries and steel plants. Operating costs can be categorized as below:• Vehicle costs • Fuel costs • Crew costs • Maintenance costs • Loading Unloading costs -:INCOME AND OPERATIONAL COSTS FOR:Barge Size Draft

Tons Meters

750 2.5-2.6

1000 2.8

Tons number/annum Tons/annum Rs/ton Rs lakhs

750 200 150000 50.5 75.75

1000 180 180000 50.5 90.90

INCOME FROM IWT/ANNUM Effective Loading Trips Throughput per barge Rate Total

OPERATING COSTS/ANNUM

Page 49 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

FUEL COSTS HSD

litres/trip

400

500

Rs/litre

24.4

24.4

litres/trip

8

10

Lube Rate

Rs/litre

70

70

HSD Cost

Rs lakhs

19.52

21.96

Lube Cost

Rs lakhs

1.12

1.26

Crew size

Number

12

14

WAGE COSTS

Rs lakhs

13.30

14.55

ANNUAL REPAIRS

Rs lakhs

12.00

15.00

RUNNING REPAIRS AND CONSUMABLES

Rs lakhs

3.00

4.00

INSURANCE

Rs lakhs

1.60

2.00

TAXES AND PORT CHARGES

Rs lakhs

2.00

3.00

ADMINISTRATION COSTS

Rs lakhs

3.00

4.00

TOTAL

Rs lakhs

55.54

65.77

HSD Rate Lube

FREIGHT RATE COMPARISON OF IWT AND ROADWAYS DISTANCE

ROAD

IWT

300-350

1.49

0.68

350-400

1.37

0.66

Page 50 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

400-450

1.35

0.64

450-500

1.23

0.63

Above 500

0.94

0.63

Thus we can see that the IWT transportation is much cheaper mode of transportation. But there are certain problems and issues in IWT: •

There are 14 500 km of potentially navigable Inland Waterways, but the modal share of IWT in organized sector is 0.24%



Till date, there is not a single full-fledged IWT port



The fleet strength in IWT sector is 430 (number) only,of which more than 50% is obsolete and non-operational



Infrastructural facilities , night navigational facilities and intermodal linkages are grossly inadequate.



Investment in IWT modes is grossly inadequate. While investment for development and maintainance of roads is around 5 crore /km ; for IWT it is only around 0.11 crore per km which is inadequate.

Page 51 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

MOVEMENT OF CONSTRUCTION EQUIPMENT ON BARGE ON RIVER GANGA

MOVEMENT OF ODC ON BARGE ON RIVER GANGA

Page 52 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

CHAPTER 7

APPROACH TOWARDS BREAK BULK SHIPMENTS ELEMENTS TO BE CONSIDERED INTO CONSIDERATION: The most important things to be taken into consideration are •

The packing list which would contain details of the cargo handled. Its weight and dimensions, the packaging specifications etc…



The time period basically refers to the The time between the cargo readiness date and the cargo demand date i.e when the cargo is to be shipped? The answer to the question will be vital in deciding the mode of transport to be , the carrier line and in turn on those factors the total cost of movement would depend

Page 53 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments



The INCO terms i.e. based on what terms the transportation would take place ? this will basically distribute the risks , responsibility and freight costs among the buyer and the supplier.

The factors are now broken down and then discussed in detail: 7.1THE CARGO:What is the cargo to be transported? Is it ODC , is the material hazardous ? What would be the ideal transportation mode for transportation of the material? For all these questions, you need to know the cargo. What is the cargo composed of? What all special documentation would be required for transportation of the cargo? All these feasibility factors are to be taken into consideration before shipment of the cargol? DIMENSIONS AND WEIGHT OF THE CARGO:This is required for the deciding on the mode of transport. Freight rates are also dependent on a weight/volume measure. The PACKAGING OF THE CARGO: ODC load mainly remains unpacked . Wooden saddles are first placed on the hydraulic trailer in a manner that is load is evenly distributed over the axles of a hydraulic trailer . Mostly in India , road transport is used for transporting the material from the manufacturing facility to the port.

7.2.SEA ROUTE PLANNING: The sea route is mainly planned out by the shipping lines themselves taking into consideration: •

Demand and supply



Weather consideration



Calls made to ports with adequate infrastructure facilities



Width of the gate Page 54 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments



Availability of berthing space , route congestion:-

This is an important factor to be taken into consideration . for e.g. in some places like Italy permission for taking a vessel through that route is available only on weekdays. Obstructions faced during the sea route like natural calamities are taken care of by the captain of the ship.

7.3.CARRIER SELECTION: All enquiries were floated on liner terms, since liner services have a regular schedule regardless of cargo demand . FACTORS THAT DETERMINE CARRIER SELECTION The deciding criterion for mode/carrier selection is based on the selection of either the lowest total transport cost or the shortest transit time for the cargo. The peculiar nature of each transport mode, namely; rail, sea, road and air, will definitely earn their own places when shippers need to make a decision on their shipments. The nature of the cargo will also affect the choice of carrier/mode when they are transported in break bulk. Demand for freight movement is mainly driven by the derived demand from the shippers. Unless there is a need, it is impossible for carriers to provide their service to just coincide with need. Freight modal choice and carrier selection depends not only on the demand for transport but also on infrastructure and service supply characteristics. The latter will influence quality of service provision and hence will affect other key logistics variables such as company inventory levels and the order cycle. Therefore, mode and carrier choice will hinge not only simply on general transportation costs but on the impact on the total logistics costs facing the particular shipper. What we are going to do here is examine the carrier selection process by exploring the differences in carriers’ and shippers’ perceptions in terms of choice criteria. Page 55 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

Further carrier selection criteria should be further expanded into two major groupings: • export shipper and carrier • import shipper and carrier Import shippers and carrier groups are more concerned about the loss and damage and equipment availability factors. For the export shipper and carrier groups, the differences were found to relate to the rate changes, service frequency, financial stability, service charges and equipment availability factors. MODE SELECTION PRINCIPLES:•

Traditional mode selection has been focused simply on determining the mode which achieves the lowest transportation cost. However, current supply chain management concepts mean transportation involves multimodal combination and the goal of mode selection has been stated as obtaining the cheapest option that meets service requirements as well as production and marketing strategies.



Freight rate, transit time, service interval, service reliability and damage & loss are major factors in modal choice. Transport users are relatively insensitive to small differences in cost between modes but very sensitive to large differences in relative cost.



Shipper’s perception of the mode of transport. An inverse relationship exists between satisfaction and information seeking. Once the shipper is satisfied with a model he tends to stick with that mode or carrier.

no

no

Is shipper limited to one carrier by contract? Does consignee specify the carrier?

Does a freight forwarder specify the carrier?

yes

Use carrier y

Page 56 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

no Shipper 1. Develops lists of all possible carries of which decider is aware 2. Establishes constraints, destination and port preferred

Chosen Carrier x able to meet the constraints

no

yes

Use carrier x

The most important factors under consideration by the shippers are: •

The ship’s capacity : whether the ship is capable enough to handle the cargo safely



Acceptability of the cargo by the ship :- the cargo to be delivered should be accepted by the shipping line

• The gear handling capacity of the ship Equipment availability and condition: ODC cargoes require certain special lifting equipments like heavy slings and spreaders and heavy cranes with a particular SWL . The shipping line to be selected should have these facilities in adequate since Indian ports grossly lack in infrastructure facilities. •

Time in transit :- This is another important factor pertaining to supply and demand . The shipping line availability should match with the readiness time of the cargo and the demand date of the supplier Page 57 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments



Port of calls :- in the liner route scheduled by them whether the shipper’s port of destination falls in their direct liner route

• Willingness to negotiate rate changes, • On time pick up and delivery • Carrier response in emergencies, • Shipment information, • Computerised billing and tracing ability • Willingness to improve service quality, • Quality of despatch personnel, • Frequency of damage,losses • Online and e-commerce services •

Schedule reliability

. 7.4 PORT SELECTION FACTORS:Important considerations have to be made in this process. A poor choice of this place may result in loading problems and, consequently, problems with the entire operation. The depth of the place must take into account the draft of the transport ship, the draft of the transported vessel, the height of the highest keel block and the following safety distances: between the keel of the transport ship and the bottom; and between the sleeper and the keel of the transported vessel – at least one meter each DRAFT REQUIREMENTS:The ships carrying ODC cargoes are mainly over 45000 dwt , which require a draft of at least 12 metres. So ODC cargoes should mainly be shipped from ports which have a draft of at least greater than 12 metres. INFRASTRUCTURE FACILITIES REQUIRED AT THE PORT:Port has got electric wharf cranes of maximum lifting capacity of 35.5 tons which is grossly inadequate. Therefore, either the ships crane has to be used or the floating cranes

Page 58 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

available on lease have to be used. This will be an important factor for deciding the vessel type, since floating cranes are generally very costly.

7.5TRANSPORT ROUTE SURVEY TO THE PORT: A sample transport route planning is shown below highlighting all the hazards faced en route. These plans are drawn beforehand and accordingly steps are taken to ensure safe transportation of the cargo to the port.

THE TRANSPORTING VESSEL:Page 59 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

ON ROAD: The lifting operations on the trailers must be carried out in presence of responsible and qualified personnel and in a proper manner with respect to manufacturer’s manual, drawing and instructions using proper hooks , slings , spreaders etc. while loading onto the trucks it should be kept into consideration that the C.G of the truck and the C.G. of the load are in line with each other ; else the load may topple due to opposite moment forces 7.6 LOADING:While lifting and loading it has to be kept in mind that balance of the cargo must be maintained to avoid toppling and internal damages . sometimes internal damage and change of alignment may be possible with no apparent external damages. In order to avoid this , throughout the lifting a particular balance and equilibrium should be maintained with the help of spreader beams , combo cranes etc . with proper lifting capacity. The following basic points are to be kept into consideration for overall load planning:•

Obtaining vessel charecteristics:Type of vessel Number of hatches Deck cargo space Crane SWL capacity



Weight distribution How the weight is to be distributed on the ship to maintain stability is determined by:

VSF(vessel stowage factor) The VSF, an important measurement in cargo stowage, is usually stated as the number of cubic feet that one LTON (2,240 pounds) of particular lot of cargo will occupy when properly stowed in the ship’s hold



Having a proper cargo pre-stowage plan beforehand The prestowage plan must be prepared before any cargo is loaded. It should show cargo distributed throughout the cargo compartments in a manner which preventsundue strain on any portion of the vessel.

Page 60 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

It provides a basis for scheduling the arrival of cargo shipside according to priority and for estimating requirements for cargo-handling equipment.

7.7 TERMS OF FREIGHT PAYMENT(INCO TERMS): •

Heavy permit document required (attached)



What inco terms to be used for transportation:-

we will gauge this issue from two points of view: THE BUYER POINT OF VIEW:What terms should the buyer go for? The mainly recommended terms are •

Ex-works



FOB



CIF

But the question arises “doesn’t the buyer have the maximum obligation here?”. Yes true, but the main advantageous factors are: •

The buyer has total control over the shipments, the shipping lines used, the freight rates offered by the shipping lines , so the buyer can avail of benefits offered occurring due to the lower freight rates and has total track of his shipments.



The second advantage is that a buyer will not have a cargo from a single supplier only, there will be various other suppliers from whom various cargoes have to be imported. If he goes for DDU, DDP etc. then he has to pay for each shipment separately. The advantage in Ex-works is that he has the advantage of consolidating his cargo in one ship which will be definitely cheaper when compared to the D,C terms

Page 61 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

Therefore the main advantages he gets are of NEGOTIATION, CONSOLIDATION & CONTROL

THE SELLER POINT OF VIEW:The Inco terms mainly used here are mainly •

CIF ,



DDU etc.. again the question arises that why to follow these when they have the Maximum obligation.

The advantages are: •

Value addition to the customer: delivery at the doorstep , thus providing convenience to the customers is a reason why sellers prefer these terms. Is it always economical to pay for the full transport? Not always , at the beginning the companies follow this strategy and once they gain confidence with the buyer bagging frequent orders , a mutual relationship develops where the terms of delivery can be negotiated then.

Page 62 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

CHAPTER 8 8.1 THE PROJECT CARGO MARKET IN INDIA:Traditionally Europe has been the main hub of the project cargo in india. New markets like south America , china , Middle east and Japan are on the rise in this sector .

Government initiatives towards the project cargo sector in India:•

With India’s GDP growing at healthy rate and most of the core sectors enjoying steady growth the Indian freight logistics industry is at an inflection point and is expected to reach a market size of over $125 million in 2010. Page 63 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments



Increase in spending on Road/Rail and other infrastructure by Government is also an impetus for growth.



NMDP investment of $ 13 billion in next 7 years to boost Ports infrastructure.



Additional Port handling capacity of 530MMTA in major and Minor Ports thru Public Private Partnerships.



Development of new Ports like Dahej, Gangavaram and Krishnapattanam etc will also augment the Project cargo market.

Main sectors of potential cargo growth in india:•

Power This sector will witness an exponential growth on fast track due to the recent signing of Indo-US, Indo-French, and other deals with Japan, Canada, Russia etc. In order to reduce the current shortfall in generation Indian companies like BHEL, L&T MHI, Jindal Power, GVK etc plan to add approx. 25000MW of Thermal,10000MW of Nuclear, 6000MW of Hydal power totaling to 40000MW by 2015 . imports in this sector will be mainly from Europe, North America, Japan and China to Mumbai, Kandla in the west coast and Gangavaram, Krishnapattanam, Haldia, Chennai and Vizag on the east coast of India.



Infrastructure Govt. of India is now investing in development of new airports and ports, new metro projects resulting in import of aero bridges, cranes, and other equipments from Europe and Far East which are essentially project cargoes. Indian companies are also executing large infra structure projects in Vietnam, Middle east, African countries which is generating large volumes of project cargoes from East Europe , Far East etc of second hand cranes, and other ODC cargoes etc of approx. 50000 frt in next 2 years.

Page 64 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

Major players – L&T , Punj Lloyd, Jaypee Group, Shapoorji Palonji, Essar, Reliance etc •

Wind energy In order to reduce the current shortfall in generation companies like BHEL, L&T MHI, Jindal Power, GVK etc plans to add approx. 25000MW of Thermal,10000MW of Nuclear, 6000MW of Hydal power totaling to 40000MW by 2015. Plans are on anvil to commission 2 ultra mega,4mega and many new small power plants with Kaiga and Kumbakonam capacity augmentation.



Oil and gas The market segment is nascent and is witnessing slow growth but will be a major sector for contributing to generating Project cargoes in near future. Indian companies like Reliance, L&T, Punj Lloyd etc are executing oil and gas projects in Far East (Petronas), South America ( Petrobas) etc generating project cargoes of ODC and heavy lifts.



Steel



Others (machineries etc…)

PERCENTAGE OF MAJOR PROJECT CARGOES IMPORTED AND EXPORTED BY INDIA:-

Page 65 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

From the above graph we see that the imports and exports in machinery equipments like cranes etc …are the highest which means the Government is investing more in the Indian infrastructure in the times of recession. This is because there are numerous opportunities in infrastructure •

Infrastructure assets are economic necessities, have highly predictable revenue streams and require huge capital expenditures to build, they can provide excellent long-term income with reasonably low volatility.



User fees for businesses such as toll roads or airport parking can be raised, making the asset class comparatively well insulated from inflation.



Also investment in infrastructure is important since India’s GDP is growing at an alarming rate and mostly imports and exports contribute to the growth rate in the GDP.

Page 66 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

GDP GROWTH RATE

GDP BREAKDOWN

Page 67 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

IMPORT VS EXPORT VOLUME AT MAJOR INDIAN PORTS:-

8.2 PROJECT CARGO – AN ANALYSIS OF THE HURDLES IN THE INDIAN SUB CONTINENT Page 68 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

India is investing much larger sums in upgrading its infrastructure than has generally been realised. This wave of spending is fuelling a rapid expansion of the country’s heavy lift sector, but there is still demand for overseas expertise prepared to work in this challenging market. Across the Indian sub-continent, though on a difficult path, heavy lift and overdimensional cargo (ODC) transport offers attractive opportunities with unlimited prospects. The past few years have seen an unbridled flow of new players wanting to carve a niche for themselves in this sunrise sector. However, given the lack of uniformity in the regulatory environment which prevails in various states, as well as the poor state of the country’s infrastructure, it is mostly those who can think out-of-the-box and who have expertise, dogged determination and a bit of foresight that can ultimately find their Place . Page 69 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

Infrastructural development in India is growing at a scorching pace and heavy lift cargo is taking centre stage. There is the hectic search for oil and gas; large numbers of power stations being set up to reduce the gap between supply and demand; refineries being erected as well as automobile, cement, steel and fertiliser plants under construction across the country. THE BIGGEST HURDLE IS THE MOTOR VEHICLE ACT which does not allow the transport of cargo exceeding 32 tonnes and does not recognise the ‘hydraulic trailer’. As a result, an alarming amount of time is wasted by operators having to seek permission from the relevant authorities including the PublicWorks Department, National Highways Authority, Road Traffic Department, the Road Transport Officer, Forest Department, Environment Department, as well as railways. To cap this problem, most bridges across the country are not strong enough to take the weight of many heavy lift shipments and shipping companies need to be innovative to circumvent these. The number of road transport companies in India numbers more than 400,000. So far those handling project cargo and ODC of over 500 tonnes can be counted on one’s fingers. The main reason is :Most of the time project transportation includes shutdown of power and telecommunications to allow the consignment to pass, strengthening of bypasses and bridges, removing obstacles such as trees, wires and other hurdles as well as the dismantling of railway crossings. In cities, many islands at road crossings also have to be removed and rebuilt after the ODC has passed. Often operators find that it is not practical or feasible to handle such heavy cargo considering the constraints one has to operate within and the distress and disappointment that one has to put up with having to deal with the bureaucracy.

Page 70 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

e.g getting permission from authorities in Gujarat and Andhra Pradesh poses serious problems. If the package size exceeds the size of the trailer the fine imposed far exceeds the transport cost. 99.99 percent of the heavy lift export cargo handled by goes by sea, it is only in exceptional cases that the cargo is sent by air. Many in the industry indicate there is insufficient equipment in India’s ports suitable for handling over-dimensional and heavy lift cargo. Haldia and Chennai each have one crane of 100 tonnes capacity, while Mumbai port has one of 60 tonnes capacity. The infrastructure problems in the country leave a lot to be desired. Inland sites have a problem transporting large-sized machines because of logistical problems. There has to be a clearcut road map for transportation. In sites such as these, one needs to make a compromise between technology and cost. Either assemble the equipment at site or transport it .

There is a need for a standard procedure for heavy lift and ODC. Most agree that the government is responsible for creating a nightmare for project cargo transport because every district and state has its own procedures for ODC cargo transportation. Billions of dollars will need to be invested in transport if the further development of the country is to be fully realised. And, clearly, while the country’s massive investment will provide major opportunities for project forwarders and shipping lines, it is not going to be an easy ride.

Page 71 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

Page 72 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

CHAPTER 9

FREIGHT RATE DECISION MODEL A shipowner does not invest on a new vessel unless they have a time charter contract in US $/DWT which would generate a sufficient stream of money to cover his initial investment costs and annual costs associated with operating of vessel plus a return on investment. The aim is to produce a justified investment for costs estimated over the ships life and produce a charter rate which would produce a NPV equal to zero. NPV investment = PV revenues – PV operating costs – PV capital costs All cash flows are discounted at a rate equal to the shipowner’s opportunity capital. ASSUMPTIONS:1. 80% of the purchase price of the vessel would be loaned for 8 years @8% per annum. 2. 20% will be paid by the owner on signing the contract. 3. 2 year lead time between signing of the contract and actual delivery of the vessel. 4. Vessel to have zero residual value at the end of its life. 5. Annual operating costs to increase @ 10% per annum over the life of the vessel. 6. Life of the vessel is fifteen years. 7. Owners opportunity cost of capital is 15% per annum

PV CALCULATIONS FOR CAPITAL COSTS:Assume the new shipbuilding cost to be I. Of this amount 20% or 0.2I will be paid in cash by owner at the time the contract is signed and 80% or 0.8I to be loaned for 8 years @ 8% per annum , the principal being paid out in equal installments starting one year after the ships delivery.

Page 73 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

YEAR

BUILDIN G INSTALL MENTS

O WNE R 20%

L OAN 80%

LOAN REPAY MENT

LOAN OUTSTAND ING

LOAN CASH INTEREST OUTFLOW

0

0.2I

0.2I

1

0.4I

0.4I

0.4I

0

0

2

0.4I

0.4I

0.8I

0.032I

0.032I

0.2I

DELIV ERY 3

0.1I

0.7I

0.064I

0.164I

4

0.1I

0.6I

0.056I

0.156I

5

0.1I

0.5I

0.048I

0.148I

6

0.1I

0.4I

0.040I

0.140I

7

0.1I

0.3I

0.032I

0.132I

8

0.1I

0.2I

0.024I

0.124I

9

0.1I

0.1I

0.016I

0.16I

10

0.1I

0.0

0.008I

0.18I

PV FACTOR

DCF(cash outflow* PV factor)

Page 74 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

1

0.2I 0.0 0.032I 0.164I 0.156I 0.148I 0.140I 0.132I 0.124I 0.16I 0.18I NPV

Formula for PV of annuity A for N years discounted at a rate R per annum is given by:-

Formula for a PV with a discrete cash flow:-

Formula for increasing gradient series of gradient G for N years discounted @R per annum :-

THEREFORE, PV capital costs = Page 75 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

0.2I

+ 0.032I +

(0.1+0.064I) +

PV CALCULATIONS FOR OPERATING COSTS :Operating costs of bulk carriers can be attributed to factors like; 1. The country of registry of the vessel which has an effect on the wage system , the tax system etc… 2. Size of the crew 3. Age and general condition of vessel which lead to expenditure on repairs and cost of insurance. We have already assumed that operating costs keep on increasing @ 10% per annum over the ship’s service life assumed to be 15 years. Therefore; PV operating costs = OC Where OC represents operating costs of the carrier ; R is the opportunity cost of capital; g is the annual growth rate of the operating costs assumed to be 10% for the time being.

$/DAY

Typical operating cost table for a 45000 dwt carrier CAPITAL COST

16560

INSURANCE

1535

REPAIRS AND MAINTAINANCE

3656

CREW

5216

FUELS AT SEA

8263

VICTUALISING

1460

Page 76 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

TOTAL(OC)

36690

PV CALCULATION FOR ANNUAL REVENUES:Annual revenues is the unknown quantity whose value we want to determine so that net present value of our investment equals to zero. They are usually expressed in 1. $ per payload (DWT) 2. $ per year/month/day

Operating days in this case is assumed to be 350 days per year and the annual revenues are to be assumed constant with time over the service life of the vessel which is assumed to be 15 years. We can call annual revenues to be RFR the required freight rate Therefore; PV for annual revenues:-

RFR NPV Investment now should be equal to zero for determining the RFR(required freight rate). 0= PV revenues – PV capital costs – PV operating costs 0= RFR (0.1+0.064I) +

– [0.2I

+ 0.032I + ] - OC

On substituting R to be 15% (earlier assumed) we can determine RFR, the required freight rate or the charter rate.

Page 77 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

CHAPTER 10 10.1 EFFECT OF RECESSION ON THE BREAKBULK INDUSTRY STEEL SECTOR: The global economic recession took a huge toll on global production of crude steel, a key breakbulk cargo, in the month of March and the first quarter of 2009, according to the World Steel Association, which compiles data from the 66 countries that report production figures.

Every single country reporting data showed a drop in production in March. Only China showed a slight increase for the first quarter. Total crude steel production in the 66 countries dropped to 92 million metric tons in March, down 23.5 percent from the same month last year. World steel production for those countries in the first quarter of 2009 was down 22.8 percent year over year at 264 million metric tons.

During the first three months of 2009 Asia produced 173 million metric tons of crude steel, which was a decrease of 8.9 percent from the year-ago period. The EU produced 30 million metric tons of steel in the first quarter of 2009, down by 43.8 percent compared to the same quarter of 2008. North American production dropped by more than half in the first quarter, showing a 2.1 percent decline, with production at16.6 million metric tons. China showed a slight increase of 1.4 percent while all the other major steel producing countries showed a decrease in the first quarter of 2009. Page 78 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

Crude steel production in March was down across the board for all countries reporting their data. China’s crude steel production for March was 45.1 million metric tons, down only 0.3 percent lower than March 2008. The U.S. produced 4.1 million metric tons of crude steel in March, a decrease of 52.7 percent compared to the same month last year.

Other countries reported the following decreases for March compared to the same month last year: – Japan, 5.7 million metric tons (-46.7 percent). – South Korea, 3.7 million metric tons (-21.2 percent). – Germany, 2.1 million metric tons, (-49.8 percent). – Italy, 1.7 million metric tons (-2.7 percent). – France, 1.1 million metric tons (-36.7 percent). – Spain,1.1 million metric tons (-41.2 percent. – Brazil,1.7 million metric tons (-41.5 percent). – Russia, 4.6 million metric tons (-30.9 percent). – Ukraine, 2.4 million metric tons, (- 38.5 percent). – Turkey, 1.8 million metric tons, (-24.5 percent). EFFECT ON THE SHIPPING INDUSTRY: Heavy-lift carriers are still busy transporting cargo for the global engineering projects that have moved beyond the planning stage, but the frenzied quest for project cargo space on ships has settled down as vessel capacity has loosened up and freight rates have softened. This development promises to change the tenor of a shipping sector that has experienced a severe shortage of capacity over the last five years. The softening in demand has taken some of the upward pressure off freight rates. The bunker adjustment factor has been reduced, but the freight rates have remained pretty stable. In part, that’s because many liner companies are charging rates set under longterm contracts with their regular customers.

Page 79 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

Vessel operators are cautious about the outlook for breakbulk and heavy-lift cargo because there are so many unpredictable political and economic factors that can affect their markets. Lack of demand of heavy projects due to commodities such as copper down, nobody is going forward with copper mining or smelting projects. Case of the oil sands projects up in Alberta. When the price of oil tumbled, the project companies moved swiftly to shut down everything they could. In the period of recession, global market outlook for heavy engineering projects will depend on what kind of stimulus package comes out in different countries

The biggest difference in the breakbulk market has come in terms of commodities and it has hit the shipping industry to such an extent that they have to decide on their cargo mix even on breakbulk vessels. Another effect of recession is that major companies are holding up their projects leading a further dilemma in the breakbulk vessel sector. Breakbulk charter rates began rising last September and hit historic highs earlier this year. They have declined a bit since March with the slowing of China’s economic growth rate and have stabilized since then. A vessel that cost $6,000 a day to charter a year ago now costs between $9,000 and $10,000 a day.

TWO PAST CASES : 1973:- The outbreak of the oil crisis led to a collapse of the tanker market overnight because there were no oil shipments to be shipped as the Saudis had turned off the tap. Page 80 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

The world economy suffered its first recession because of high oil prices. But tanker capacity kept growing @ 20% in spite of freight costs barely able to cover the running costs. The tanker market did not recover until the late 1980’s. 1981:- The global recession in 1981 brought down the demand for iron and coal commodities and hence the bulk shipping market suffered. EFFECT OF THE CRUDE OIL PRICES: The recent drop in crude oil prices has brought down the freight rates of goods exported from India to the US and Europe by 30 to 40 per cent. Leading shipping lines operating between India and Europe and the US said freight rates dropped to $700 from $1,000 and $1,600 from $1,900, respectively, for every 20-foot equivalent unit (TEU) in the past two months. According to representatives of shipping lines, crude prices dropped almost 60 per cent over the past three months from the record high of $147 a barrel in July to a 17-month low of a little below $63 per barrel. This, in turn, has brought down the bunker adjustment factor (BAF) to 12 per cent (on the freight) from 17 per cent.Industry representatives said the current global economic downturn had also brought down the exports of goods by 7 per cent. The global shipping market is sinking. This week, the Baltic Dry Index, which tracks rates for vessels carrying bulk commodities on the world's busiest 26 routes fell to its lowest level since July 2006. From the look of it, it is unlikely to recover any time soon.

THE BALTIC DRY INDEX The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) is a number issued daily by the London-based Baltic Exchange. The index provides "an assessment of the price of moving the major raw

Page 81 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

materials by sea. Taking in 26 shipping routes measured on a timecharter and voyage basis, the index covers Handymax, Panamax, and Capesize bulk carriers.

Most directly, the index measures the demand for shipping capacity versus the supply of dry bulk carriers. The demand for shipping varies with the amount of cargo that is being traded or moved in various markets (supply and demand). The BDI factors in the four different sizes of oceangoing dry bulk transport vessels:[3] Ship Classification Dead Weight Tons % of World Fleet % of Dry Bulk Traffic [4] Capesize

100,000+

10%

62%

Panamax

60,000-80,000

19%

20%

Supramax

45,000-59,000

37%

18% w/ Handysize

Handysize

15,000-35,000

34%

18% w/ Supramax[5]

EFFECTS

The crash

A sharp one as it took only afew months for the freight rate to fall 95% as is evident from the BDI. This was mainly triggered by global recession , slowdown in china Page 82 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

coupled with lack of trade credits etc..

What happened

Between 2003 and 2005 this particular sector went

before

through a super boom mainly because demand for

Orderbook

commodities could not be satisfied. Order book for the capsize segment is now about 90% of the total existing fleet. Many expect that these orders

Freight rate

will be cancelled. The freight rate has gone below $ 3000 for now and is expected to stay at around $ 5000 which is around the

Ship owners

operating costs but way below the break even point. They have the urge to cancel new building orders and scrap older tonnage.10 capesize vessels have been sent for scrapping over the last two months versus almost zero in the past few years.

RECESSION AND THE SHIPPING LINES

RICKMERS Rickmers Linie (America) has adjusted its 2009 budget downward as revenue expectations decline and tonnage shrinks. In spite of the grim economic climate, Rickmers expects to get through the year without too much harm, said Jerry Nagel, president and chief executive at Rickmers. Top priorities in 2009 for the carrier include maintaining service levels and preparing for scheduled deliveries of new vessels. Company executives and sales staff are planning

Page 83 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

multiple meetings in coming months with current and prospective customers to find out what cargoes are out there and in which markets to position the new vessels. Rickmers has not laid up any ships or changed any routes as a result of the recession and has no plans to do so. Commodities and breakbulk cargo such as steel and pipe are not moving in the same quantities as before. The company has been able to substitute other cargoes such as bagged fertilizer and to carry more heavy-lift cargo. Rickmers line has also phased out a new vessel named “Rickmers Houston” from Houston to south-east Asia thus offering additional capacity to customers and increasing frequency of vessels from fourteen to eleven days.

BBC CHARTERING Germany-based BBC Chartering began preparing for the global downturn in project activity by fine-tuning its business model, according to Ove Meyer, the company’s chief officer. The company consolidated data and information in a central location and upgraded its technology to ensure that the information is readily available to company and customer offices worldwide. “It’s just a matter of increasing overall efficiency,” Meyer said. “The most money you can lose is through ineffective internal and external information flows.” Another key for surviving the recession is the operational flexibility provided by a fleet of 140-plus multipurpose, heavy-lift vessels, which enables BBC to reroute ships and add ports of call. Quality of service is a key differentiator in the heavy-lift business even in a recession. By providing quality of service, the carrier will be well positioned for an eventual recovery.

Page 84 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

Mining projects in Brazil and Argentina, a key market segment for BBC, are on a downward trend. A severe economic downturn in the region would impact BBC in all of its markets including Asia, which as a region has invested heavily in South American mining projects. One important trade segment that could remain strong through 2009 is replacement cargo for Persian Gulf-based energy and infrastructure projects. The key is the price of oil. “New oil projects need at least $50 per barrel for them to be profitable,” CEO Meyer said. “If it falls below that, it’s not worth it and projects will be postponed.” To strengthen its market position, BBC has added services and formed new alliances. The carrier’s Gulf Line Service offers two monthly sailings from U.S. Gulf ports including Houston and Mobile to major ports in the Persian Gulf. Mediterranean Project Chartering, a business alliance formed in 2006 with Genoa, Italybased carrier Intermare serves Mediterranean breakbulk and project cargo markets. CHIPOLBROK , SANGHAI Chipolbrok, a Shanghai-based Chinese-Polish joint venture with U.S. offices in Houston, operates an import liner service from the Far East and China to Houston, New Orleans and Camden, N.J., and a westbound service from the U.S. to Asia. The carrier has a fleet of 20 triple-decker vessels ranging from 18,000 to 30,000 deadweight tons. Breakbulk cargoes such as minerals and steel have been hit hard by the recession. In some cases, rates on westbound services are down by as much as 50 percent. For the heavy-lift cargo market, the signals are mixed. It’s too early to tell whether there will be significant declines in volume even if the recession drags on late into 2009. Most of Chipolbrok’s project cargo is booked far in advance and moved on its liner services. It’s the charter side that is experiencing the steepest tonnage declines in steel, minerals and other commodities.

Page 85 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

The carrier is expanding its services by offering direct discharge and transshipments to new destinations and smaller ports of call. For example, transshipments are available to Aberdeen, Scotland, through a second carrier via Antwerp. but we still can see that india is a rising sector for imports/exports of project cargo.hoegh autoliners , the nowegian car carrier has added services recently to india.

10.2 GLOBAL RECESSION: THE INTERRELATION WITH TRADE The basic elements required for a trade are: RAW

MANUFACTUR

IMPORTERS(BUYERS)

EXPORTERS(TRADE COMPANIES)

LOGISTICS

The main solution from the importer end is to reduce the prices of the commodities. This is mainly due to reduced buying power of the consumer which results in lower consumption index. To boost trade , we need to boost consumption , which is possible the same quality of goods at lower prices. How is this possible? By reducing the costs in the supply chain process. This is also possible since:1. Against the background of current financial crisis, prices of raw materials have decreased 2. Significant reduction in prices of energy products such as petroleum means lower freight and storage cost 3.With the decreasing and stable amplitude of the financial crisis wave, rate of exchange will tend to level off and rise. Low price transmission can be assumed to have a larger trade volume. With increasingly stable financial community, trade will tend to be active and large in size when consumers have suitable savings and their purchasing power and consumption confidence index rise. Page 86 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

Maybe experts and scholars then will conclude that the crisis has ended and economy begins a recovery journey. On the other hand if the sales volume of low priced goods soars in a country it will lead to international trade friction. Countries will set trade barriers to hold back low-price goods from exporters, with the purpose to protect its local industries from being hit, to lower unemployment rate, and to avoid spread of crisis to a larger scope. Such measures based on individualism will conversely further the depression of global economy. The measures, aimed at protecting domestic or local companies, are not good for recovery from a crisis. It will take longer for the economy to recover when it falls to the bottom. Under such an economic environment, how do companies on the trade chain face the situation? After each crisis, there are cheap shares and assets everywhere. It is perfect time for companies to reconstruct, merge and acquire. Those companies with abundant cash flow will expand and develop themselves at this time through the measures mentioned above. Exporters shall seize opportunities to cooperate with international brand companies. Strength of low cost will play a more important role in future trade. In view of the current financial condition, shipping companies have decided to trim their cost bases by taking various steps, TSA Chairman Ronald D Widdows said. These include consolidating routes and sailings, entering into vessel-sharing alliances, laying up ships for maintenance and repairs, returning chartered ships, and adding ships to service strings as part of slow-steaming strategies to conserve fuel.

Page 87 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

BIBLIOGRAPHY: • BREAKBULK DIGEST •

HEAVY LIFT MAGAZINE (issue july 2008 to feb 2009)



www.mit.edu



Indian maritime landscape report(2008)-KPMG

• Cargo systems by Hans-otto Gunther Page 88 of 89

Analysis of break bulk shipments

• Drewry’s shipping statistics

Page 89 of 89